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April 23, 2010

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At the end of the regular GERS board meeting Tuesday afternoon, board member Edgar Ross said he felt that the board no longer could simply wait for the legislative or executive branches to take action, and he asked that the matter be placed on the agenda for the next board meeting.
Although GERS contribution rates can be altered by changing the law, V.I. Code also empowers the GERS board to increase contribution rates by a maximum of 3 percent in a five-year period.
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In other action, the board voted that from now on, any annuitant accepted for retirement shall not receive that annuity unless all of the employee contributions and government contributions for credited years of service are paid.
That move stemmed from a discussion about the government's failure to pay missing contributions for some employees who retired by Dec. 31.
Ross had raised the threat of a lawsuit at one point last year, leading to talks with Government House - talks that GERS officials say resulted in an agreement.
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After the board's action Tuesday, those who are similarly situated but have not yet retired will not receive their annuities until the government pays up. It will not affect those who already have retired.
In a statement released Tuesday night, Gov. John deJongh Jr. said that the delay in paying the money to GERS is because the V.I. government still is waiting for information from GERS.
"The agreement between GERS and the government has not been finalized and [url=http://www.agoshow.net/2009-All-Star-New-York-Mets-5-David-Wright-Red-Jerseys-9/]2009 All Star New York Mets 5 David Wright Red Jerseys[/url] has not been signed by either party due to the lack of financial data from GERS," deJongh said. "GERS has been asked to quantify the total amount of the financial obligation so [url=http://www.agoshow.net/Twins-33-Justin-Morneau-red-2010-All-Star-Jerseys-54/]Twins 33 Justin Morneau red 2010 All Star Jerseys[/url] that the government could determine the total exposure and how best to meet this obligation."
GERS provided some of the information on Dec. 7, 2012, but could not give an estimate about when it could provide the rest of the information, deJongh said.
According to Government House, GERS Administrator Austin Nibbs sent an email on May 1 saying that GERS would forward a listing of members who retired between Jan. 1 and Dec. 31, 2012, as well as the outstanding employer share and the amount due.
Government House said it still has not received the information.
"Certainly Administrator Nibbs and each member of the GERS board of trustees can appreciate that the government simply cannot agree to turn over a signed blank check to GERS without knowing what is owed," deJongh said.
If the government never signs the agreement and refuses to pay the money owed, it will continue to add to the system's $1.7 billion unfunded liability.
In other action Tuesday, the GERS board:
- Approved an amended set of bylaws for Carambola Northwest LLC.
GERS now owns Carambola, after the hotel defaulted on a $15 million loan it had obtained from GERS in 2009. GERS took possession of the property a year ago.
The GERS board amended the Carambola bylaws to set out the composition of the Carambola board.
Under those amended bylaws, the Carambola board will comprise the GERS administrator, two members of the GERS board, and two others selected by the board who have experience in hotels, management, finance or investments.
- Voted to reimburse The West Indian Co. $451,338 for capital expenditures at Havensight.
- Accepted a proposal from Orbitel for an alternative investment loan and pass the proposal onto the financial adviser for further vetting.
- Contact Joy Blackburn at 714-9145 or email jblackburn@dailynews.vi.


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Castrol EPL Predictor: Arsenal to get over Manchester United
With just Four games to go for the top three in the Top League, Manchester United possess a 90% chance of winning the title according to the Castrol EPL Predictor. Chelsea fans aren't letting numbers obstruct though.
On a weekend where cocking a snook in reality and advancement is mandated through royal decree in England (and by extension, in the US media and therefore Across the world), lesser clubs than Chelsea (including, err…Seven time league invariably winners Aston Villa and A few time, 5 period European Champions Liverpool) will be striving to be able to overturn the odds to make their own fate.
With the exception of Arsenal. After assisting Birmingham to the Carling Pot, a Manchester team to the FA Cup as well as Barcelona to a final berth in the Winners League (who coached Barcelona to dive and complain?), they are now hell-bent on helping Manchester United overtake Liverpool in the English sports championship stakes.
Why don't we hope Wenger's kids are buoyed with the weekend's events, find motivation in such outdated cliches along with go out at the Emirates to provide United a complete camouflaging. They have a 40% chance of doing this (according to Castrol), which is lightweight ground to risk the excitement of a entire month on.
On this weekend's predictions, including a look at how the Castrol EPL Forecaster works and where your team is likely to turn out at the end of this season.
Castrol EPL Forecaster
The Castrol EPL Predictor operates by using goals obtained and conceded simply by each team a duration of time to arrive at a specific points rating with the team (adjusting for recent form), after which compares each permanent fixture (adjusting for residence advantage) to determine how many goals each crew is likely to score (full details here).
Now I am working on and off of on various predictive models to determine football go with results, and there are three things you discover after spending even a couple of minutes working on such a design:
1. The more files you use, the more confusing and inaccurate it gets.
2. The best indicators are those that are directly relevant to [url=http://hibestjerseys.webnode.com/]Seattle Seahawks Jerseys Cheap for Sale[/url] results and evenly suitable across a whole variety of different scenarios.
Three. At the end of the day, any model's job is to anticipate based on statistics and data available to it. It will NOT tell you the future, thus don't blame the model if it turns into a result wrong or if perhaps it predicts something you don't like.
Unless you adhere to the second portion of point #2, you won't have a very workable model that could predict matches throughout the whole spectrum.
Unless you understand point #3, you need your head checked.
Back to the Castrol EPL Predictor. Can it be perfect? No, sports has too many specifics to be able to have a 100% accurate predictive model. Does it work? The particular proof is in the benefits, and here at Soccerlens i will be testing the Castrol Predictor versus actual match up results each week to check out where it will get things right (where it gets these wrong).
The beauty of your Castrol Stats is the extra data you get regarding analysing each video game – you can use the Castrol EPL Match Predictor to evaluate matchups between any two groups in the Premier League and get the latest stats and insights for each and every team.
Here's a go through the weekend's matches, as forecasted by Castrol:
Castrol Weekend Prophecies

Talking Points:
Sunderland / Fulham is the most likely complement to end in a attract.
Wigan v Everton is the most likely match to end within an away win.
Chelsea v Tottenham is the most probably match to end at home win.
As assured earlier, we'll be monitoring all the match results this weekend and comparing them with Castrol's Predictions along with share this data next week.
And is really a look at the predicted ultimate Premier League status:
Castrol EPL Predictor – Final Status

Talking points:
Liverpool only winning 6 out of potential A dozen, while Tottenham win 6 out of 15 (and perhaps they are predicted to lose to Chelsea, so it's 7 out of 12)? Will certainly Spurs really conquer Liverpool?
Will United beat Chelsea? Barely. They're predicted to get rid of to Arsenal, way too.
Wolves are predicted to escape relegation while Blackpool will keep their free-fall and Western side Ham and Wigan will get points but not enough to pull them in advance of their rivals.
So…check out the Castrol EPL Match Forecaster, as well as the Castrol EPL Table Forecaster, and stay tuned to get more match previews this weekend.
If you'd prefer this article and want much more, follow Soccerlens on Facebook.

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